14:10 Worcester tips
Handicap Chaseclass 22m4fgood5 runners
What we lean towardspreferred
Karnaval Point is our pick, though Youdecide is not far behind. It edges it on the size of its price drops.
Handicap Chase over 2m4f on good going. Karnaval Point heads our ratings. We have enough recent form to rate all 5 declared.
How we rate the field
1
Karnaval Point
Rian Corcoran / David Pipe
4/1
- Price drops have been easing off across its last 4 runs, down to a 90% average.
- Quick turnaround at 10 days against its usual 25.
2/1 to 5/1: 21.0% win, 40.2% frame (739 tracked)
2
Youdecide
Ben Jones / Ben Pauling
2.6/1
- Steady 50% average price drop over its last 5 runs.
- Quick turnaround at 13 days against its usual 52.
- Carries 26lb less than last time.
2/1 to 5/1: 21.0% win, 40.2% frame (739 tracked)
3
Crebilly
Harry Cobden / Jonjo & A J O´Neill
11/2
- Its price has been shortening harder each run across its last 5, averaging a 48% drop.
- Quick turnaround at 21 days against its usual 47.
5/1 to 8/1: 12.7% win, 29.5% frame (684 tracked)