15:55 Worcester tips
Novice Hcap Hurdleclass 52m7fgood11 runners
What we lean towardsopen race
Too close to split with conviction. Brionywells just shades it from Crafty Gael on the way its price has been shortening.
Novice Hcap Hurdle over 2m7f on good going. Brionywells and Crafty Gael separate by very little. We have enough recent form to rate all 11 declared.
How we rate the field
1
Brionywells
Nick Slatter / David Killahena & Graeme McPherson
6/1
- Its price has been shortening harder each run across its last 5, averaging a 12% drop.
- Has won 1 of 2 here on course and going.
- Quick turnaround at 16 days against its usual 69.
5/1 to 8/1: 12.7% win, 29.5% frame (684 tracked)
2
Crafty Gael
Sean Bowen / Olly Murphy
11/2
- Its price has drifted across its last 4, averaging 28% out, though the drift has been easing each run.
- Quick turnaround at 22 days against its usual 190.
5/1 to 8/1: 12.7% win, 29.5% frame (684 tracked)
3
Forest Spirit
James Bowen / Mickey Bowen
6/1
- Its price has been shortening harder each run across its last 5, averaging a 29% drop.
- Placed 1 time from 2 runs here on course and going without winning.
- Quick turnaround at 18 days against its usual 62.
5/1 to 8/1: 12.7% win, 29.5% frame (684 tracked)