13:50 Aintree tips
Novice Hcap Chaseclass 32mgood to soft8 runners
What we lean towardspreferred
The Gray Ghost is our pick, though Taurus Bay is not far behind. It edges it on coming back at its right interval.
Novice Hcap Chase over 2m on good to soft going. The Gray Ghost heads our ratings. We have enough recent form to rate all 8 declared.
How we rate the field
1
The Gray Ghost
Charlie Price / Robbie Llewellyn
21/1
- Its price has been shortening harder each run across its last 5, averaging a 63% drop.
- Quick turnaround at 21 days against its usual 57.
- Carries 10lb less than last time.
20/1 to 50/1: 2.0% win, -43% return over 1,150 tracked. Our weakest band.
2
Taurus Bay
Ben Jones / Ben Pauling
15/4
- Steady 99% average price drop over its last 3 runs.
- Back after 228 days, well beyond its usual 44-day gap.
2/1 to 5/1: 21.0% win, 40.2% frame (739 tracked)