15:00 Aintree tips
Handicap Chaseclass 12m4fgood to soft13 runners
What we lean towardsopen race
Too close to split with conviction. Riskintheground just shades it from Prairie Wolf on coming back at its right interval.
Handicap Chase over 2m4f on good to soft going. Riskintheground and Prairie Wolf separate by very little. We have enough recent form to rate all 13 declared.
How we rate the field
1
Riskintheground
Harry Atkins / Dan Skelton
26/1
- Its price has been shortening harder each run across its last 5, averaging a 56% drop.
- Quick turnaround at 11 days against its usual 43.
20/1 to 50/1: 2.0% win, -43% return over 1,150 tracked. Our weakest band.
2
Prairie Wolf
Jack Tudor / Joel Parkinson & Sue Smith
15/1
- Its price has been shortening harder each run across its last 5, averaging a 35% drop.
- Back after 218 days, well beyond its usual 28-day gap.
- Carries 7lb less than last time.
12/1 to 20/1: 5.0% win, 18.9% frame (893 tracked)