15:20 Ascot tips
Group 1class 11mgood11 runners
What we lean towardsopen race
Too close to split with conviction. Hawk Mountain just shades it from Gstaad on the way its price has been shortening.
Group 1 over 1m on good going. Hawk Mountain and Gstaad separate by very little. We rate 10 of the 11 declared; the other 1 lack enough recent form for us to judge.
How we rate the field
1
Hawk Mountain
Colin Keane / A P O´Brien
34/1
- Its price has been shortening harder each run across its last 5, averaging a 59% drop.
- Quick turnaround at 35 days against its usual 75.
20/1 to 50/1: 2.0% win, -43% return over 1,150 tracked. Our weakest band.
2
Gstaad
Ryan Moore / A P O´Brien
7/2
- Price drops have been easing off across its last 5 runs, down to a 74% average.
- Has won 1 of 2 here on course.
2/1 to 5/1: 21.0% win, 40.2% frame (739 tracked)
Not rated: Rayif — too little recent form to judge.