17:20 Ayr tips
Other Handicapclass 51m5fsoft11 runners
What we lean towardsopen race
Too close to split with conviction. Ebony Maw just shades it from Junkyard Dog on its standing on published form ratings.
Other Handicap over 1m5f on soft going. Ebony Maw and Junkyard Dog separate by very little. We have enough recent form to rate all 11 declared.
How we rate the field
1
Ebony Maw
Jason Hart / Ewan Whillans
9/1
- Its price has been shortening harder each run across its last 5, averaging a 32% drop.
- Placed 1 time from 3 runs here on course and going without winning.
8/1 to 12/1: 8.0% win, 26.8% frame (709 tracked)
2
Junkyard Dog
Andrew Mullen / Iain Jardine
13/1
- Its price has been shortening harder each run across its last 5, averaging a 16% drop.
- Quick turnaround at 15 days against its usual 39.
12/1 to 20/1: 5.0% win, 18.9% frame (893 tracked)
3
Sophiesticate
Cian Horgan / R Mike Smith
26/1
- Its price has been shortening harder each run across its last 5, averaging a 17% drop.
- Placed 1 time from 3 runs here on course without winning.
20/1 to 50/1: 2.0% win, -43% return over 1,150 tracked. Our weakest band.