16:15 Ayr tips
Novice Stakesclass 27fsoft9 runners
What we lean towardsclear pick
Amir Lehbab is our standout. It rates well clear of the rest, mainly on the size of its price drops.
Novice Stakes over 7f on soft going. Amir Lehbab rates clear of the rest on our signals. We rate 3 of the 9 declared; the other 6 lack enough recent form for us to judge.
How we rate the field
1
Amir Lehbab
Oisin Murphy / Andrew Balding
3/1
- Averages a 91% price drop, though on limited recent form.
- Back after 72 days, well beyond its usual 28-day gap.
2/1 to 5/1: 21.0% win, 40.2% frame (739 tracked)
2
Gold Key
Tom Eaves / Kevin Ryan
13/3
- Averages a 32% price drop, though on limited recent form.
2/1 to 5/1: 21.0% win, 40.2% frame (739 tracked)
3
Nice Neasy Does It
David Allan / Tim Easterby
101/1
- Averages a 9% price drop, though on limited recent form.
50/1 and above: 0.7% win, -58% return over 959 tracked. Our weakest band.
Not rated: Black Gin, Cagney, Golden Souk, Northern Crown, Rogue Constelation, Tyrrhenian Thunder — too little recent form to judge.