16:17 Chepstow tips
Handicap Hurdleclass 42mgood to soft15 runners
What we lean towardsopen race
Too close to split with conviction. Phoenix Risen just shades it from Victory Shout, but there is very little in it.
Handicap Hurdle over 2m on good to soft going. Phoenix Risen and Victory Shout separate by very little. We have enough recent form to rate all 15 declared.
How we rate the field
1
Phoenix Risen
Chad Bament / Jeremy Scott
21/1
- Its price has been shortening harder each run across its last 5, averaging a 57% drop.
- Back after 176 days, well beyond its usual 74-day gap.
20/1 to 50/1: 2.0% win, -43% return over 1,150 tracked. Our weakest band.
2
Victory Shout
Ellis Collier / Syd Hosie
11/1
- Its price has been shortening harder each run across its last 5, averaging a 41% drop.
- Back after 180 days, well beyond its usual 31-day gap.
- Carries 6lb less than last time.
8/1 to 12/1: 8.0% win, 26.8% frame (709 tracked)