13:00 Down Royal tips
Maiden2m6½fyielding11 runners
What we lean towardsclear pick
Confidence Within is our standout. It rates well clear of the rest, mainly on coming back at its right interval.
Maiden over 2m6½f on yielding going. Confidence Within rates clear of the rest on our signals. We rate 5 of the 11 declared; the other 6 lack enough recent form for us to judge.
How we rate the field
2
With Nolimit
Jack Kennedy / Gordon Elliott
4/3
- Its price has been shortening harder each run across its last 4, averaging a 65% drop.
- Back after 184 days, well beyond its usual 36-day gap.
under 2/1: 44.5% win, 68.7% frame (865 tracked)
3
Booklight
Sean Flanagan / C A McBratney
51/1
- Its price has drifted across its last 5, averaging 5% out, though the drift has been easing each run.
- Quick turnaround at 25 days against its usual 109.
50/1 and above: 0.7% win, -58% return over 959 tracked. Our weakest band.
Not rated: Hello Wee Love, Master Locksley, Miss Bo Peep, Rossnowlagh, The Stags, Water Mill — too little recent form to judge.