15:57 Downpatrick tips
Novice Hurdle2m5½fgood9 runners
What we lean towardsopen race
Too close to split with conviction. Kashchei just shades it from Lukers Tipple on its standing on published form ratings.
Novice Hurdle over 2m5½f on good going. Kashchei and Lukers Tipple separate by very little. We have enough recent form to rate all 9 declared.
How we rate the field
1
Kashchei
Carl Millar / Cian Collins
8/1
- Its price has been shortening harder each run across its last 5, averaging a 37% drop.
- Placed 2 times from 2 runs here on course without winning.
- Quick turnaround at 18 days against its usual 45.
8/1 to 12/1: 8.0% win, 26.8% frame (709 tracked)
2
Lukers Tipple
Keith Donoghue / Gavin Cromwell
5/1
- Its price has been shortening harder each run across its last 5, averaging a 17% drop.
5/1 to 8/1: 12.7% win, 29.5% frame (684 tracked)
3
Gangster Granny
Sean Flanagan / C A McBratney
8/1
- Steady 70% average price drop over its last 5 runs.
- Has won 3 of 4 here on course and going.
8/1 to 12/1: 8.0% win, 26.8% frame (709 tracked)