14:55 Hereford tips
Novice Hcap Hurdleclass 53m1½fgtf8 runners
What we lean towardspreferred
I Love You Sivola is our pick, though Athenas Dream is not far behind. It edges it on the way its price has been shortening.
Novice Hcap Hurdle over 3m1½f on gtf going. I Love You Sivola heads our ratings. We have enough recent form to rate all 8 declared.
How we rate the field
2
Athenas Dream
Megan Bevan / Harriet Dickin
5/1
- Its price has been shortening harder each run across its last 5, averaging a 13% drop.
- Quick turnaround at 12 days against its usual 28.
5/1 to 8/1: 12.7% win, 29.5% frame (684 tracked)
3
Porridge
Oscar Palmer / Tracey Leeson
67/1
- Price drops have been easing off across its last 5 runs, down to a 43% average.
50/1 and above: 0.7% win, -58% return over 959 tracked. Our weakest band.