13:05 Hereford tips
Novice Hurdleclass 42mgood12 runners
What we lean towardspreferred
Governors Rock is our pick, though Marias Joy is not far behind. It edges it on its standing on published form ratings.
Novice Hurdle over 2m on good going. Governors Rock heads our ratings. We rate 10 of the 12 declared; the other 2 lack enough recent form for us to judge.
How we rate the field
2
Marias Joy
Joe Anderson / Grace Harris
101/1
- Averages a 77% price drop, though on limited recent form.
- Quick turnaround at 14 days against its usual 364.
50/1 and above: 0.7% win, -58% return over 959 tracked. Our weakest band.
3
Valenciaga
Callum Pritchard / Sheila Lewis
41/1
- Its price has been shortening harder each run across its last 4, averaging a 51% drop.
- 2 runs here on course without making the frame.
- Quick turnaround at 17 days against its usual 109.
20/1 to 50/1: 2.0% win, -43% return over 1,150 tracked. Our weakest band.
Not rated: Dressed Overall, Unbelievable Jeff — too little recent form to judge.