13:02 Newbury tips
Group 3class 15fgood11 runners
What we lean towardsopen race
Too close to split with conviction. Diligent Harry just shades it from Azure Angel on the size of its price drops.
Group 3 over 5f on good going. Diligent Harry and Azure Angel separate by very little. We have enough recent form to rate all 11 declared.
How we rate the field
1
Diligent Harry
Ryan Moore / Clive Cox
8/1
- Its price has been shortening harder each run across its last 5, averaging a 76% drop.
8/1 to 12/1: 8.0% win, 26.8% frame (709 tracked)
2
Azure Angel
Connor Beasley / Edward Bethell
41/1
- Its price has been shortening harder each run across its last 5, averaging a 76% drop.
- Carries 12lb less off a 2lb lower mark.
20/1 to 50/1: 2.0% win, -43% return over 1,150 tracked. Our weakest band.
3
First Instinct
Cieren Fallon / William Haggas
7/1
- Its price has been shortening harder each run across its last 5, averaging a 22% drop.
- Quick turnaround at 27 days against its usual 71.
- Carries 7lb less than last time.
5/1 to 8/1: 12.7% win, 29.5% frame (684 tracked)