15:20 Newbury tips
Novice Stakesclass 37fgood17 runners
What we lean towardsclear pick
Kodiac City is our standout. It rates well clear of the rest, mainly on the size of its price drops.
Novice Stakes over 7f on good going. Kodiac City rates clear of the rest on our signals. We rate 4 of the 17 declared; the other 13 lack enough recent form for us to judge.
How we rate the field
1
Kodiac City
Ryan Moore / Richard Hughes
15/4
- Averages a 100% price drop, though on limited recent form.
2/1 to 5/1: 21.0% win, 40.2% frame (739 tracked)
2
Lots Road
Daniel Muscutt / Ralph Beckett
26/1
- Averages a 54% price drop, though on limited recent form.
- Quick turnaround at 9 days against its usual 26.
20/1 to 50/1: 2.0% win, -43% return over 1,150 tracked. Our weakest band.
3
Montgomery Bell
Jack Nicholls / Heather Main
101/1
- Averages a 38% price drop, though on limited recent form.
50/1 and above: 0.7% win, -58% return over 959 tracked. Our weakest band.
Not rated: Coloniser, Green Tundra, High Summer, Inmyopinion, Iron Stone Lad, Jassas, Kicking Bear, Momentsofsurrender, Native German, Rattenbury, Saint Mungo, Showmaster, Stytch — too little recent form to judge.