13:52 Newbury tips
Novice Hurdleclass 22m½fgood to soft10 runners
What we lean towardspreferred
Connells Cross is our pick, though Princess Day is not far behind. It edges it on the way its price has been shortening.
Novice Hurdle over 2m½f on good to soft going. Connells Cross heads our ratings. We rate 7 of the 10 declared; the other 3 lack enough recent form for us to judge.
How we rate the field
2
Princess Day
Lorcan Williams / Jeremy Scott
9/2
- Price drops have been easing off across its last 3 runs, down to a 92% average.
- Quick turnaround at 25 days against its usual 103.
2/1 to 5/1: 21.0% win, 40.2% frame (739 tracked)
3
La Trinite
Jack Quinlan / Neil King
201/1
- Its price has been shortening harder each run across its last 5, averaging a 9% drop.
- Quick turnaround at 10 days against its usual 22.
50/1 and above: 0.7% win, -58% return over 959 tracked. Our weakest band.
Not rated: Gaelic Heather, Rosies Honour, Royal Response — too little recent form to judge.