16:55 Newmarket tips
Novice Stakesclass 31m2fgood10 runners
What we lean towardsopen race
Too close to split with conviction. Humphrey just shades it from Golden Island on coming back at its right interval.
Novice Stakes over 1m2f on good going. Humphrey and Golden Island separate by very little. We rate 5 of the 10 declared; the other 5 lack enough recent form for us to judge.
How we rate the field
1
Humphrey
Robert Havlin / John & Thady Gosden
2.6/1
- Averages a 24% price drop, though on limited recent form.
2/1 to 5/1: 21.0% win, 40.2% frame (739 tracked)
2
Golden Island
Jack Mitchell / Heather Main
15/1
- Averages a 48% price drop, though on limited recent form.
12/1 to 20/1: 5.0% win, 18.9% frame (893 tracked)
3
Electric Arc
Grace McEntee / George Boughey
15/1
- Averages a 40% price drop, though on limited recent form.
- Quick turnaround at 7 days against its usual 138.
12/1 to 20/1: 5.0% win, 18.9% frame (893 tracked)
Not rated: Amazonica, Emperor Aurelius, Ovage, Santushti, Super Crown — too little recent form to judge.