19:00 Southwell tips
Novice Stakesclass 46fstandard8 runners
What we lean towardsclear pick
Mollisha is our standout. It rates well clear of the rest, mainly on the size of its price drops.
Novice Stakes over 6f on standard going. Mollisha rates clear of the rest on our signals. We rate 5 of the 8 declared; the other 3 lack enough recent form for us to judge.
How we rate the field
1
Mollisha
George Wood / Brian Ellison
21/1
- Averages a 74% price drop, though on limited recent form.
20/1 to 50/1: 2.0% win, -43% return over 1,150 tracked. Our weakest band.
2
Mohaymenah
Kaiya Fraser / Harry Eustace
6/1
- Averages a 66% price drop, though on limited recent form.
- Back after 105 days, well beyond its usual 34-day gap.
5/1 to 8/1: 12.7% win, 29.5% frame (684 tracked)
Not rated: Buyback, Diamond Blue Point, Grateful Spirit — too little recent form to judge.