17:00 Southwell tips
Novice Stakesclass 41mstandard8 runners
What we lean towardsclear pick
Sin City is our standout. It rates well clear of the rest, mainly on the size of its price drops.
Novice Stakes over 1m on standard going. Sin City rates clear of the rest on our signals. We rate 3 of the 8 declared; the other 5 lack enough recent form for us to judge.
How we rate the field
2
Shadow Boxer
Robert Havlin / Simon Crisford
4/1
- Averages 10% price drift, though on limited recent form.
- Quick turnaround at 31 days against its usual 166.
2/1 to 5/1: 21.0% win, 40.2% frame (739 tracked)
3
Dream Of Albion
Alex Jary / Joey Ramsden
67/1
- Averages a 53% price drop, though on limited recent form.
- Back after 51 days, well beyond its usual 20-day gap.
50/1 and above: 0.7% win, -58% return over 959 tracked. Our weakest band.
Not rated: Beaujon, Casement Park, Galileos Gift, Momotombo, Wild Rock — too little recent form to judge.