14:15 Stratford tips
Novice Hurdleclass 42m6fgood to soft7 runners
What we lean towardspreferred
Captain Connor is our pick, though Padre Arthur is not far behind. It edges it on coming back at its right interval.
Novice Hurdle over 2m6f on good to soft going. Captain Connor heads our ratings. We rate 5 of the 7 declared; the other 2 lack enough recent form for us to judge.
How we rate the field
1
Captain Connor
Kielan Woods / Clare Ellam
34/1
- Its price has been shortening harder each run across its last 5, averaging a 60% drop.
20/1 to 50/1: 2.0% win, -43% return over 1,150 tracked. Our weakest band.
2
Padre Arthur
Nico de Boinville / Nicky Henderson
5/1
- Its price has been shortening harder each run across its last 3, averaging a 40% drop.
- Back after 208 days, well beyond its usual 53-day gap.
5/1 to 8/1: 12.7% win, 29.5% frame (684 tracked)
Not rated: Clondaw Sergeant, Electric City — too little recent form to judge.