12:10 Worcester tips
Novice Hcap Chaseclass 42m4fgood to soft15 runners
What we lean towardsopen race
Too close to split with conviction. Dynamite Defense just shades it from Five Bar Gate on coming back at its right interval.
Novice Hcap Chase over 2m4f on good to soft going. Dynamite Defense and Five Bar Gate separate by very little. We rate 14 of the 15 declared; the other 1 lack enough recent form for us to judge.
How we rate the field
1
Dynamite Defense
James Best / Sarah-Jayne Davies
101/1
- Its price has been shortening harder each run across its last 5, averaging a 27% drop.
- Placed 2 times from 7 runs here on course without winning.
50/1 and above: 0.7% win, -58% return over 959 tracked. Our weakest band.
2
Five Bar Gate
Jack Tudor / Neil Mulholland
11/1
- Its price has been shortening harder each run across its last 4, averaging a 75% drop.
- Back after 237 days, well beyond its usual 32-day gap.
8/1 to 12/1: 8.0% win, 26.8% frame (709 tracked)
Not rated: Keep Star — too little recent form to judge.