15:35 Yarmouth tips
Novice Stakesclass 41mgtf7 runners
What we lean towardsopen race
Too close to split with conviction. Certainty just shades it from Moontune on the size of its price drops.
Novice Stakes over 1m on gtf going. Certainty and Moontune separate by very little. We rate 3 of the 7 declared; the other 4 lack enough recent form for us to judge.
How we rate the field
1
Certainty
Alice Bond / Mrs Ilka Gansera-Leveque
201/1
- Averages a 56% price drop, though on limited recent form.
- Quick turnaround at 21 days against its usual 375.
50/1 and above: 0.7% win, -58% return over 959 tracked. Our weakest band.
2
Moontune
Kieran Shoemark / Stuart Williams
13/3
- Averages 65% price drift, though on limited recent form.
2/1 to 5/1: 21.0% win, 40.2% frame (739 tracked)
Not rated: Endless Quest, Espressona Signora, Fourneville, Tilsworth Emma — too little recent form to judge.